목 차 CONTENTS

I. 서론 ·······························································································1
1. 연구 개요 ··························································································1
1-1 연구 배경 및 목적 ···············································································1
1-2 연구 범위 ·····························································································2
1-3 연구 방법 ·····························································································2
1-4 연구 추진체계 ······················································································3
1-5 용어의 정리 ·························································································3

II. 제주 에너지 대전환의 의의 ···························································4
1. CFI 2030의 추진 ·············································································4
1-1 CFI 2030 개요 ···················································································4
1-2 CFI 2030 추진성과 ············································································6
1-3 CFI 2030 추진의 한계 ·······································································7
2. 재생에너지 출력제한 이슈 ·································································8
2-1 제주 발전설비 현황 ·············································································8
2-2 제주 재생에너지 출력제한 현황 ···························································9
2-3 제주 재생에너지 출력제한 전망 ·························································10
3. 제주 에너지 대전환의 의의 ·····························································15
3-1 에너지 대전환 시나리오의 개요 ·························································15
3-2 에너지 대전환 시나리오의 의의 ·························································18

III. 국내·외 에너지 전환 사례 분석 ·················································20
1. 해외사례 분석 ··················································································20
1-1 세계 에너지 전망과 에너지 전환 합의 ··············································20
1-2 주요 선진국의 신재생에너지 발전비율과 에너지전환 목표 ·················26
1-3 해외 섬지역 에너지 전환 사례 ··························································43
2. 국내사례 분석 ··················································································48
2-1 우리나라의 에너지전환 목표 및 관련 정책 ········································48
2-2 지자체별 신재생에너지 발전비율 및 에너지전환 목표 ·······················52
2-3 국내 신재생에너지 보급 활성화 지자체 사례 ····································56
3. 에너지 전환 사례의 시사점 ·····························································61
3-1 해외 사례 시사점 ···············································································61
3-2 국내 사례 시사점 ···············································································63

IV. 제주 에너지 대전환에 따른 지역경제 효과분석 ·························64
1. 제주 에너지 대전환의 지역경제 파급효과 ········································64
1-1 제주 에너지 대전환 투자 개요 ··························································64
1-2 제주 에너지 대전환 예상 투자액 ·······················································71
1-3 제주 에너지 대전환에 따른 경제파급효과 ··········································75
2. 제주 에너지 대전환의 사회적 후생효과 ···········································86

V. 결론 및 정책제언 ·······································································89
1. 결론 ·································································································89
2. 정책제언 ··························································································91

부록(Appendix) ·············································································93
1. 경제파급효과 세부 분석결과 ····························································93
2. 분산에너지, 그린수소 관련 제주특별자치도 보도자료 현황 ···········102