목 차 CONTENTS
Ⅰ. 서론 ················································································································1
1. 연구의 배경 및 목적 ·················································································1
1-1 연구의 배경 및 필요성 / 1
1-2 연구 목적 / 2
2. 연구의 주요내용 및 접근방법 ···································································2
2-1 연구의 주요내용 / 2
2-2 연구방법 / 2
Ⅱ. 최근 대내외 경제여건 변화 ······································································4
1. 해외여건 ······································································································4
1-1 코로나19 이후 세계경제의 여건변화 / 4
1-2 2024년 세계경제 동향 및 전망 / 5
1-3 2024년 국가별 경제동향 및 전망 / 7
2. 국내여건 ······································································································9
2-1 코로나19 이후 국내경제 여건변화 / 9
2-2 2024년 국내경제 동향 및 전망 / 12
Ⅲ. 코로나19 이후 제주경제 진단 ·······························································17
1. 제주경제 현황분석 ···················································································17
1-1 제주경제의 규모 및 성장 / 17
1-2 제주경제의 산업구조 / 20
2. 제주경제 부문별 진단 ·············································································23
2-1 경기동향 / 23
2-2 실물경제 동향 / 24
Ⅳ. 제주경제 영향분석 및 전망 ····································································33
1. 제주경제 회복력 분석 ·············································································33
1-1 회복력의 개념 및 분석방법 / 33
1-2 제주경제 회복력 측정 및 진단 / 35
2. 제주경제 영향분석 ···················································································40
2-1 금리변화에 따른 영향분석 / 40
2-2 환율 상승에 따른 영향분석 / 42
3. 제주경제 전망 ··························································································46
3-1 2025년 제주경제 전망 / 46
3-2 제주경제 잠재성장률 전망 / 49
Ⅴ. 결론 및 정책적 제언 ················································································52
참 고 문 헌 ·······································································································59
Abstract ·············································································································60