<목 차>
Ⅰ. 서 론 ···················································································· 1
1. 연구 필요성 ······················································································· 1
2. 연구 목적 ························································································· 1
3. 연구 내용 및 방법 ··········································································· 1
Ⅱ. 감귤출하의 구조분석 ························································ 2
1. 감귤의 순별 출하처별 출하량 및 가격의 변화 ························· 2
가. 전체시장의 순별 출하량 및 가격의 변화 ·····························2
나. 시장출하처별 순별 출하량 및 가격의 변화 ·························5
2. 감귤의 지역별 출하량 및 가격의 변화 ····································· 15
3. 감귤의 월별 출하량 및 가격 변화 ············································· 18
Ⅲ. 감귤의 시기별, 지역별, 출하처별 가격신축성함수 추정 ···· 22
1. 감귤가격신축성함수의 설정 ························································· 22
2. 감귤의 순별 출하처별 가격신축성함수의 추정 ······················· 23
3. 감귤의 지역별 가격신축성함수의 추정 ····································· 36
4. 감귤의 월별 가격신축성함수의 추정 ········································· 39
Ⅳ. 감귤 출하조절의 효과분석 ············································ 43
1. 분석을 위한 제가정 ······································································· 43
가. 비상품감귤 비율의 추정 ························································· 43
나. 기본 시나리오의 구성과 분석방법 ······································· 45
2. 감귤의 생산조정의 효과 분석 ····················································· 45
3. 감귤의 출하시기 조절의 효과 분석 ··········································· 54
4. 감귤의 상품출하량 조절의 효과 분석 ······································· 63
5. 감귤의 수출량 증대의 효과 분석 ··············································· 86
Ⅴ. 요약 및 결론 ·································································· 101
<참 고 문 헌> ··········································································· 106