연구보고서

연구보고서
  • 제주경제 전망모형(JRI-ERM)의 개선 연구

    연구책임 : 고봉현|구분 : 기본연구

    발행일 : 2022-10-15 |조회수 : 122

    목 차 CONTENTS

    Ⅰ. 서론 1
    1. 연구의 배경 및 목적 1
    1-1 연구의 배경 및 필요성 / 1
    1-2 연구 목적 / 1
    2. 연구의 주요내용 및 접근방법 2

    Ⅱ. JRI-EFM 모형의 현황과 한계 3
    1. JRI-EFM 모형의 현황 3
    1-1 모형의 이론적 배경 / 3
    1-2 JRI-EFM 모형의 개요 / 5
    1-2 JRI-EFM 모형의 구조 및 평가 / 7
    2. JRI-EFM 모형의 한계와 과제 9

    Ⅲ. JRI-EFM 모형의 개선내용 10
    1. 모형 개선의 기본방향 10
    1-1 모형구조의 확대·개편 / 10
    1-2 자료의 갱신 / 11
    1-3 적합도 및 활용도 제고 / 11
    2. 개선 모형의 구조 및 특징 12
    2-1 개선 모형의 기본구조 / 12
    2-2 개선 모형의 자료·변수·추정방법 / 13
    3. 개선 모형의 경제부문별 방정식 추정결과 16
    3-1 총수요 / 16 3-2 총공급 / 20
    3-3 고용 / 39 3-4 물가 / 45
    3-5 재정 / 46 3-6 금융 / 48
    3-7 대외거래 / 50 3-7 부문별 정의식 / 52

    Ⅳ. 모형의 평가 및 정책 시뮬레이션 53
    1. 모형의 예측력 평가 53
    1-1 평가 개요 / 53
    1-2 모형의 예측력 평가결과 / 54
    2. 정책 시뮬레이션 57
    2-1 개요 / 57
    2-2 국내총생산(GDP) / 57
    2-3 관광객 수 / 58
    2-4 정부소비 / 59

    Ⅴ. 요약 및 결론 61
    1. 연구 결과의 요약 61
    2. 정책적 시사점 63

    참고문헌 64
    Abstract 65
  • 제주지역 노동인구구조 변화와 일자리 정책 대응방안

    연구책임 : 이순국|구분 : 기본연구

    발행일 : 2022-10-15 |조회수 : 140


    목 차 CONTENTS


    Ⅰ. 서론 1
    1. 연구의 필요성 및 목적 1
    2. 연구의 내용 및 방법 2

    Ⅱ. 인구구조 및 인구정책 분석 5
    1. 우리나라 인구구조 변화와 고령화 5
    2. 인구정책의 변화와 주요 특징 9
    3. 요약 및 시사점 13

    Ⅲ. 제주지역 노동인구구조 현황 분석 14
    1. 제주지역 인구구조 현황 14
    2. 제주 노동시장 현황 28
    3. 고용보험 통계를 활용한 제주 노동인구 동향분석 42
    4. 요약 및 시사점 55

    Ⅳ. 제주지역 노동인구 변화에 따른 일자리 정책 대응방안 57
    1. 제주특별자치도 일자리 사업 특징 57
    2. 노동인구변화에 따른 일자리 정책 방향과 대응방안 61

    참고문헌 71
    Abstract 73
  • 제주지역 관광자원의 스토리텔링 방안 연구

    연구책임 : 신동일|구분 : 기본연구

    발행일 : 2022-10-15 |조회수 : 180


    목 차 CONTENTS

    Ⅰ. 서론 1
    1. 연구 배경 및 목적 1
    2. 연구 내용 및 방법 3

    Ⅱ. 문헌 연구 4
    1. 관광자원 스토리텔링의 개념 및 특징 4
    2. 관광자원 스토리텔링의 체계 7
    3. 선행연구 검토 8

    Ⅲ. 국내외 사례 및 제주지역 현황 9
    1. 국내 사례 9
    2. 국외 사례 18
    3. 제주지역 현황 및 사례 26

    Ⅳ. 제주지역 관광자원 스토리텔링 방안 28
    1. 기본 방향 28
    2. 관광자원 스토리텔링 방안 30

    Ⅴ. 결론 및 제언 38

    참고문헌 40
    Abstract 41
  • 제주지역 안전문화운동 활성화 방안 연구

    연구책임 : 박창열|구분 : 정책연구

    발행일 : 2022-10-15 |조회수 : 70

    목차 CONTENTS

    Ⅰ. 서 론…………………………………………………………………… 1
    1. 연구배경 및 목적 ………………………………………………………… 1
    2. 연구내용 ………………………………………………………………… 2

    Ⅱ. 안전문화운동 운영현황 및 진단 …………………………………… 3
    1. 안전문화운동 개요 및 운영현황 ………………………………………… 3
    1-1 안전문화운동의 개념 ……………………………………………………… 3
    1-2 우리나라 안전문화운동의 운영현황 ……………………………………… 6
    1-3 안전문화운동 추진체계 …………………………………………………… 8
    2. 제주특별자치도 안전문화운동 운영현황 ……………………………… 11
    3. 시사점 …………………………………………………………………… 13

    Ⅲ. 국내·외 안전문화운동 사례 및 시사점……………………………… 14
    1. 국외 선진사례 …………………………………………………………… 14
    1-1 일본 생활방재운동 ………………………………………………………… 14
    1-2 생활방재운동의 실천사례 : 가코가와(加古川市) 그린시티 …………… 17
    2. 국내 타지역 우수사례 …………………………………………………… 24
    2-1 광주광역시 ………………………………………………………………… 24
    2-2 경상북도 영주시 …………………………………………………………… 27
    3. 시사점 …………………………………………………………………… 30

    Ⅳ. 제주특별자치도 안전문화운동 활성화 방안 ……………………… 32
    1. 기본 방향 ………………………………………………………………… 32
    2. 제언 ……………………………………………………………………… 32
    2-1 일상생활의 안전실천 프로그램 개발 …………………………………… 33
    2-2 안전문화 확산을 위한 컨텐츠 다양화 …………………………………… 34
    2-3 지역사회의 안전 커뮤니티 프로그램 운영 ……………………………… 35
    2-4 중장기적 관점의 안전문화운동 추진계획 마련 ………………………… 37
    2-5 안전의식 진단 정례화……………………………………………………… 38

    Ⅴ. 결 론…………………………………………………………………… 39
    참고문헌…………………………………………………………………… 40
  • 제주도민 인권감수성 향상을 위한 프로그램 개발에 관한 연구

    연구책임 : 현혜경|구분 : 정책연구

    발행일 : 2022-10-15 |조회수 : 75

    목 차 CONTENTS

    Ⅰ. 서론 ················································································································ 1
    1. 연구 필요성 및 목적 ················································································· 1
    1-1 연구 필요성 / 1
    1-2 연구 목적 / 3
    1-3 연구 기대 효과 및 한계 / 3
    2. 이론적 배경 및 선행연구의 검토 ····························································· 4
    2-1 인권 감수성과 인권 교육에 대한 이론 / 4
    2-2 제도적 근거 / 6
    3. 연구 방법 및 분석틀 ················································································· 7
    4. 연구 범위 ···································································································· 8

    Ⅱ. 제주지역 인권 교육의 역사적 전개 및 현황 ······································· 9
    1. 제주지역 인권 교육의 시작과 전개 ························································· 9
    1-1 제주지역 인권 교육의 시작 / 9
    1-2 제주지역 인권 교육의 전개 / 13
    2. 제주지역 인권 교육 현황 ········································································ 16
    2-1 제주지역 인권 교육 현황 / 16
    2-2 제주특별자치도 및 공적 영역 인권 교육 운영 현황 / 17
    2-3 제주지역 시민사회단체 인권 교육 현황 / 21
    2-4 시사점 / 22

    Ⅲ. 인권 교육 참여자 조사 ············································································ 23
    1. 조사 개요 ·································································································· 23
    1-1 조사 설계 / 23
    1-2 자료 처리 및 결과 분석 / 23
    1-3 응답자 인구사회학적 특징 / 24
    2. 조사 결과 ·································································································· 25
    2-1 인권 교육에 맨 처음 참여한 시기 / 25
    2-2 인권 교육에 맨 처음 참여 경로 / 25
    2-3 인권 교육 참여 횟수 / 26
    2-4 인권 교육 주관 기관 / 27
    2-5 참여한 인권 교육 주제 / 27
    2-6 참여한 인권 교육 주제별 만족도 / 28
    2-7 참여한 인권 교육 프로그램 운영 방식 / 28
    2-8 인권 교육이 인권 감수성 증진에 영향을 미친 정도 / 30
    2-9 인권 교육 참여자 인권 감수성 증진 정도 / 30
    2-10 향후 인권 교육 프로그램 확대 및 신설 / 31
    2-11 인권 교육 발전을 위한 우선 정책 / 32
    3. 소결 및 시사점 ························································································ 32

    Ⅳ. 전문가 FGI 결과 ······················································································· 34
    1. 제주도민 인권 교육 기반 조성 ······························································ 34
    1-1 인권 교육의 체계화 및 제도적 기반 검토 필요 / 34
    1-2 인권 교육의 기반 조성을 위한 인권 연구의 활성화 필요 / 34
    1-3 인권 교육에 대한 예산 문제 / 34
    2. 제주도민 인권 감수성 증진을 위한 인권 교육 프로그램 개발 ·········· 35
    2-1 인권 교육의 방향 설정 필요 / 35
    2-2 인권 강사 양성 과정 운영 및 관리․활용 문제 / 36
    2-3 인권 교육 프로그램 운영 및 매뉴얼 문제 / 38
    2-4 인권 교육에 대한 합리적 평가 시스템 구축 필요 / 41
    2-5 인권 및 인권 교육을 전담할 기구의 설치 필요 / 42

    Ⅴ. 결론과 정책적 제언 ·················································································· 44
    1. 결론 ··········································································································· 44
    1-1 인권 교육의 제도적 기반 조성 필요 / 44
    1-2 인권 교육 전문 강사의 관리와 활용 필요 / 44
    1-3 인권 교육 프로그램 다변화 및 현장화 필요 / 45
    1-4 인권 교육 관련 평가 시스템 체계 필요 / 45
    2. 정책적 제언 ······························································································ 45
    2-1 인권 교육 운영 계획 수립과 체계화 / 45
    2-2 인권 교육 프로그램 개발과 다원화 / 45
    2-3 인권 센터 설립 후 인권 교육 프로그램 전문화 / 46
    2-4 인권 교육 성과 평가 체계화 등 사후관리 및 환류시스템 / 47

    참고문헌 ··············································································································· 48

    Abstract ·············································································································· 49

    부록 : 설문지 ······································································································ 50

  • 의회 회의록 작성을 위한 음성인식시스템 도입과 활용방안

    연구책임 : 조남운|구분 : 정책연구

    발행일 : 2022-10-15 |조회수 : 55

    목 차 CONTENTS

    Ⅰ. 서론 ················································································································1
    1. 연구 배경 및 목적 ···················································································1
    1-1 연구 배경 ···························································································3
    1-2 연구 목적 ···························································································3
    2. 연구 내용, 범위 및 방법 ········································································3
    2-1 연구내용 ·····························································································3
    2-2 연구범위 ·····························································································4
    2-3 연구방법 ·····························································································4
    3. 전체 구성 ··································································································5

    Ⅱ. 음성인식 기술 현황 ····················································································6
    1. 음성인식기술의 이론적 배경 ···································································6
    1-1 음성인식시스템의 구조 ·······································································6
    1-2 기계학습 ·····························································································7
    1-3 딥러닝 ································································································8
    2. 음성인식기술 현황 ···················································································9
    2-1 음성인식기술 수준 ··············································································9
    2-2 음성인식기술의 발전방향 ··································································11
    2-3 END2END 알고리즘 ·······································································12

    Ⅲ. 의회 회의록 작성 현황 ············································································14
    1. 의회 회의록 작성 절차 ·········································································14
    1-1 속기 ·································································································15
    1-2 교정 ·································································································16
    1-3 편집 ·································································································18
    2. 대한민국 의회 기록팀 현황 ··································································19
    2-1 국회 ·································································································19
    2-2 광역의회 ···························································································19
    2-3 기초의회 ···························································································20
    3. 지방의회 기록팀의 현황과 개선 필요사항 ··········································21
    3-1 의회 회기에 집중된 업무량 ······························································21
    3-2 인력부족 ···························································································21
    3-3 업무 관련 질병 ················································································21

    Ⅳ. 회의록 작성과정의 음성인식 시스템 도입 가능성 검토 ·················23
    1. 음성인식기술의 속기분야 활용 동향 ···················································23
    2. 국내외 정부기관의 음성인식기술 활용 사례 ·······································24
    2-1 일본 의회 ·························································································24
    2-2 미국/유럽 의회 ·················································································30
    2-3 대한민국 교육부 ···············································································31
    2-4 G 대학교 ·························································································32
    3. 회의록 작성을 위한 음성인식 시스템 도입 사례 ·······························35
    3-1 국회 ·································································································35
    3-2 대전광역시의회 ·················································································36
    3-3 고성, 인제, 평창군의회 ····································································37
    4. 의회 회의록 작성의 측면에서 본 음성인식기술 도입 타당성 ··········38

    Ⅴ. 결론 및 정책제언 ······················································································40
    1. 기술활용과 사례분석을 기반으로 한 도입타당성 ·······························40
    2. 음성인식시스템 도입시 기술적 고려사항 ············································41
    2-1 회의실 음향/영상 환경 고려 ····························································41
    2-2 음성입력 관련 돌발상황 최소화 ·······················································41
    2-3 최신 AI모델 도입 여부 ····································································41
    2-4 실시간 회의록 편집 UI 제공 여부 ···················································42
    2-5 생성되는 회의록에 기반한 추가 학습 가능 여부 ······························42
    2-6 인식 텍스트 스크립트와 동영상 동기화 여부 ···································42
    2-7 파일럿 테스트시 오류율(인식률) 정의 재검토 ··································42
    3. 정책제언 ··································································································43
    3-1 음성인식시스템 도입시 정책적 고려사항 ··········································43
    3-2 ASR 도입관련 제주특별자치도의회 회의록 관련 법령 검토 ············43
    3-3 의회 회의록의 활용도 제고 방안 ·····················································44
    3-4 현재 기술 동향을 반영한 NCS 속기 직무 규정 필요 ······················45

    참고문헌 ···············································································································47

    Abstract ··············································································································48

    부록 ······················································································································52

    제주특별자치도의회 회의록 관련 법규 ·······························································53
  • 제주 농업환경보전프로그램 확대 방안

    연구책임 : 안경아|구분 : 기본연구

    발행일 : 2022-10-15 |조회수 : 95

    목 차 CONTENTS

    Ⅰ. 서론 1
    1. 연구의 배경 및 목적 1
    2. 연구 내용 2

    Ⅱ. 농업환경보전프로그램 개요 3
    1. 농업환경보전프로그램 도입 배경 3
    2. 농업환경보전프로그램 내용 5
    2-1 사업목적 / 5
    2-2 지원 근거 / 5
    2-3 사업 대상 / 5
    2-4 지원 내용 / 6
    2-5 사업지원금액 / 8
    3. 해외 정책 사례 8
    3-1 EU 생태제도 / 8
    3-2 미국 농업환경보전 제도 / 11
    3-3 네덜란드 북프리지아숲 지역협동조합(NFW) / 14

    Ⅲ. 제주 농업환경 진단 17
    1. 농업환경 진단 방법 17
    2. 읍면별 지하수 수질 분석 결과 18
    3. 토양성분 분석 결과 20
    3-1 제주시 / 21
    3-2 서귀포시 / 31

    Ⅳ. 2022년 제주 농업환경보전프로그램 도입 사례 41
    1. 구좌읍 평대리 41
    1-1 마을 현황 / 41
    1-2 토양‧수자원 환경 현황 / 42
    1-3 농업환경 관리 방향 / 43
    2. 대정읍 신도리 44
    2-1 마을 현황 / 44
    2-2 토양‧수자원 환경 현황 / 45
    2-3 농업환경 관리 방향 / 45
    3. 안덕면 대평리 46
    3-1 마을 개요 / 46
    3-2 토양‧수자원 환경 현황 / 47
    3-3 생태 환경 현황 / 48
    3-4 농업환경 관리 방향 / 56

    Ⅴ. 제주 농업환경보전프로그램 확대 방안 57
    1. 제주형 활동 제안 58
    1-1 개인활동 / 58
    1-2 공동활동 / 60
    2. 자체 사업 추진 61
    2-1 제주 농업환경 리빙랩 설치 및 운영 / 61
    2-2 농업환경 평가 및 농업환경프로그램 추진 / 62
    2-3 농업환경보전 사업과 연계 지원 / 62
    2-4 관련 조례 제정 및 마을농업환경보전협동조합 지원 근거 마련 / 64

    참고문헌 65
    Abstract 66
  • 제주 농가경제 진단과 정책 방향

    연구책임 : 안경아|구분 : 기본연구

    발행일 : 2022-10-15 |조회수 : 158


    목 차 CONTENTS

    I. 서론 1
    1. 연구 배경 및 목적 1
    2. 기존 연구와의 차별성 2
    3. 연구 내용 4

    II. 제주 농가경제 진단 5
    1. 농가경제 진단지표 설정 5
    2. 농가경제 진단 결과 7
    2-1 수익성 / 7
    2-2 유동성 / 13
    2-3 효율성 / 16
    2-4 안정성 / 19

    III. 제주 농가부채 요인 분석 24
    1. 농가부채 현황 24
    2. 농가부채 주요 특성 28
    2-1 그룹별 평균 농가부채 규모 및 추이 / 28
    2-2 그룹별 평균 LTV 추이 / 34
    2-3 2018년 농가와 2021년 농가의 특성 비교 / 40
    3. 제주 농가부채 요인 회귀분석 46
    3-1 분석자료 및 요약통계량 / 46
    3-2 분석결과 / 48
    4. 부실대출 위험성 진단 68

    IV. 제주 농가경제 정책 방향 71
    1. 분석 결과 요약 71
    1-1 제주 농가경제 진단 / 71
    1-2 제주 농가부채 요인 분석 / 74

    2. 제주 농가경제 정책 방향 75
    2-1 농업 수익성 개선 방안 마련 및 추진 / 75
    2-2 농가 겸업 지원 정책 강화 / 76
    2-3 30~40대 경영주를 위한 농어촌진흥기금 15년 대출 프로그램 신설 / 76
    2-4 농어촌진흥기금 지원 기준 (당초)LTV → (변경)LTV+LTI / 77

    참고문헌 78
    Abstract 79



  • 제주시 인구감소지역 선정 및 대응 방안

    연구책임 : 고태호|구분 : 정책연구

    발행일 : 2022-10-15 |조회수 : 170

    목차 CONTENTS

    Ⅰ. 서 론………………………………………………………………………1
    1. 연구의 배경 및 목적 …………………………………………………………1
    2. 연구의 내용 및 방법 …………………………………………………………2

    Ⅱ. 제주시 읍·면·동지역 인구 현황 ………………………………………5
    1. 제주시 인구 현황 및 전망 …………………………………………………5
    1-1 제주시 인구 현황……………………………………………………………… 5
    1-2 제주시 인구 전망…………………………………………………………… 13
    2. 제주시 읍·면·동지역 인구 현황 ………………………………………… 18
    2-1 제주시 읍·면·동지역 총 인구 …………………………………………… 18
    2-2 제주시 읍·면·동지역 연령별 인구구조 ………………………………… 20
    2-3 제주시 읍·면·동지역 인구부양비 ………………………………………… 21
    2-4 제주시 읍·면·동지역 노령화지수 ………………………………………… 23
    2-5 제주시 읍·면·동지역 자연증가 인구 …………………………………… 24
    3. 시사점 …………………………………………………………………… 26

    Ⅲ. 제주시 인구감소지수 측정 및 인구감소지역 선정 ………………… 29
    1. 행정안전부 인구감소지수 및 제주형 인구감소지수 고찰……………… 29
    1-1 행정안전부 인구감소지수 고찰 …………………………………………… 29
    1-2 제주형 인구감소지수 고찰 ………………………………………………… 31
    2. 제주시 인구감소지수 측정 ……………………………………………… 33
    2-1 ‘제주형 인구감소지수’ 구성 지표별 측정 결과 ………………………… 33
    2-2 제주시 인구감소지수 측정 결과 ………………………………………… 41
    3. 제주시 인구감소지역 선정 ……………………………………………… 42
    제주시 인구감소지역 선정 및 대응 방안

    Ⅳ. 제주시 인구정책 사업 발굴 ………………………………………… 44
    1. 제주시 신규 인구정책 사업 발굴………………………………………… 45
    2. 제주특별자치도 인구정책 사업 검토 …………………………………… 49
    2-1 제주특별자치도 인구정책 방향 …………………………………………… 49
    2-2 제주특별자치도 인구정책 사업 …………………………………………… 50
    3. 제주시 인구정책 사업 발굴 ……………………………………………… 53
    참고문헌…………………………………………………………………… 55
    Abstract ………………………………………………………………… 56
  • 기준수위 관측망 기준수위 재산정 및 수위하강 대응 방안 연구

    연구책임 : 박원배|구분 : 기본연구

    발행일 : 2022-10-15 |조회수 : 23

    목 차 CONTENTS

    Ⅰ. 서론 ················································································································1
    1. 연구의 배경 및 목적 ·················································································1
    2. 연구의 방법 및 범위 ·················································································4
    Ⅱ. 지하수위 관측 결과 분석 ··········································································5
    1. 현행 기준수위 유효성 검토 ······································································5
    1-1 지하수위의 기준수위 아래 하강 이력 분석 ··········································5
    1-2 가뭄 빈도 분석 ··················································································19
    2. 지하수위 변화 추세 분석 ········································································24
    3. 기준수위 관측정의 적정성 검토 ·····························································31
    Ⅲ. 최근 관측자료에 기반한 기준수위 재산정 ··········································39
    1. 기준수위 재산정 방법 ·············································································39
    2. 기준수위 재산정 결과 ·············································································44
    2-1 관측 자료 전체를 사용한 기준수위 재산정 ········································44
    2-2 관측 자료 중 이상치를 제거한 후 기준수위 재산정 ··························51
    3. 기준수위 관측정 추가 배치(안) 마련 ····················································61
    3-1 기준수위 신규 후보 관측정들의 기준수위 산정 ·································61
    3-2 기준수위 신규 후보 관측정들의 배치(안) ···········································65
    Ⅳ. 결론 및 정책 제언 ····················································································70
    1. 결론 ···········································································································70
    2. 정책 제언 ··································································································73
    2-1 현행 제도의 개선 방안 ······································································73
    2-2 기준수위 관련 해외 사례 ···································································74
    2-3 해외 사례 대비 제주도 기준수위 제도 개선 방안 ······························75
    2-4 향후 기준수위 제도 개선 방안 ···························································79
    참고문헌 ···············································································································83
    Abstract ··············································································································84